Welcome back to the conclusion of Freak Week at Turner Field. Three days after dealing with Jose Fernandez’s nastiness, the Braves will spend the next three days dealing with Reds rookie outfielder Billy Hamilton’s tremendous speed.
Upon popular demand, Major League Baseball has clarified the way the transfer rule should be interpreted with expanded instant replay and announced that starting tonight such plays will be ruled as they had been over the past century, minus the past four weeks. Fortunately for the Braves, MLB has done nothing with the rule that states a player can’t steal first base.
As other opponents have seen over the past few weeks, Hamilton wreaks havoc once he steps on the basepaths. He has tagged and advanced on fly balls hit to the shallow portion of the outfield and taken advantage of most every opportunity to steal a base. But he has also produced a meager .266 on-base percentage through his first 21 games of the season.
Evan Gattis, who will be behind the plate tonight, gained a first-hand look at Hamilton’s speed when the two played against each other in the Southern League two years ago. Gattis vividly remembers the stolen base Hamilton recorded against him.
“I got a good pitch and had a good chance to get him,” Gattis said. “But in that situation, I probably still don’t get him. It’s silly. He’s different. He’s a game-changer. You’ve just got to try to keep him off base. If he puts the ball in play and gets on enough, it’s silly.”
Gattis is fortunate to be part of a club that has seen its starting rotation limit opponents to a Major League-low .266 on-base percentage (Side note: The Reds starters rank second, having limited opponents to a .278 on-base percentage.
Yesterday’s offday story focused on how good Atlanta’s once-suspect starting rotation has been and pointed out that it has started this season more impressively than any of the great Maddux/Glavine/Smoltz rotations of yesteryear. Here is a closer look at how this current rotation’s start ranks with those of the quintets Atlanta has used dating back to the magical 1990s.
Best ERA for Braves rotations through the first 21 games dating back to 1991:
2014 — 1.50
1997 — 2.52
1994 — 2.62
1998 — 2.63
1993 — 2.70
If the opener was a sign of things to come, this current homestand might prove to be every bit as eventful as the action-packed road trip the Braves ended with Sunday afternoon’s 14-inning loss to the Mets.
Coming off the marathon finale in New York, the Braves proved fortunate to claim a 4-2, 10-inning victory in Monday’s series opener against the Marlins. Craig Kimbrel’s second consecutive shaky appearance netted him his first blown save of the year and it might have resulted in a loss had former Brave Reed Johnson not misread Derek Dietrich’s game-tying double off the left-center field wall. Here is Johnson’s take.
Had Johnson not hesitated believing Justin Upton was going to get to Dietrich’s long fly, the Marlins might have scored two on Dietrich’s double and set the stage for their dominant closer Steve Cishek, who has posted a 1.05 ERA and limited opponents to a .190 batting average while successfully converting each of his past 32 save opportunities dating back to June 8.
Those are Kimbrel-like numbers or at least the kind of dependability we had seen Kimbrel provide before he has produced two consecutive Kolb-like appearances since getting a chance to rest a sore right shoulder last week.
The fact that Kimbrel recorded three consecutive strikeouts following Dietrich’s game-tying nine-pitch at-bat at least minimized the concerns that began developing when Kimbrel surrendered two runs before being pulled from Saturday night’s game against the Mets with two outs in the ninth. But until he produces a couple of clean outings in a row, there will naturally be some lingering concern.
“I can go out throw 95-96 and then go out and be 98-99,” Kimbrel said Monday night. “I really can’t control that. I’m just trying to throw strikes.”
Kimbrel’s velocity has been a tick slower than normal in his past three appearances. Per Fangraphs.com, Kimbrel’s average fastball velocity during his first five appearances of this season was 96.2 mph. His average velo in the 68 appearances he made last year was 96.9 mph.
We learned Kimbrel’s shoulder was bothering him after his fasball averaged a season-low 95.5 mph during his April 12 scoreless appearance against the Nationals. Since getting a chance to rest for an entire week, his average velo in his past two appearances has been 96.4 (Saturday) and 95.6 (Monday).
All told, Kimbrel’s fastball has averaged 96 mph thus far this season, which is similar to the 96.3 average he produced during his first eight appearances last year. Given this and the fact that he says is now pain-free, his recent struggles seem to be more a product of command than his shoulder.
“I felt great, better than I had before my rest,” Kimbrel said. That’s a good sign. So we’ll go from here.”
Kimbrel said the success he had at the end of Monday night’s appearance was a product of his decision to be more aggressive with his curveball, which he used to conclude each of his three strikeouts. He missed the strike zone with three of his first four curveballs and then hit it with five of his final six.
“I was trying to throw it more for strikes more than just throw it and see what it does,” Kimbrel said. “That is what I started doing (during the latter part of the inning).”
Evan Gattis’ walk-off home run saved Kimbrel some heartache and also deflected some attention away from the fact the Braves had left the bases loaded in the bottom of the ninth inning, which began with Jordan Schafer’s opposite-field double against Carlos Marmol. The Twitterverse erupted when Jason Heyward attempted to advance Schafer to third base with a sacrifice bunt.
After the game, Braves manager Fredi Gonzalez said he had given Heyward the option to bunt in that situation.
“I left it up to him,” Gonzalez said. “Whatever he wanted to do, whatever he felt comfortable doing there. You don’t want to play extra-inning games and the chances of scoring a run from third base is greater than scoring a run from second base, especially with a guy like Marmol. With a guy on third base, maybe you take one of his breaking pitches away or his split because he doesn’t want to bounce it and let the runner score there. That was fine. I had no problems whatsoever.”
All of the late-inning action overshadowed Julio Teheran’s latest gem. Coming off his three-hit shutout of the Phillies during which he threw 115 pitches (second-highest total of his young career), Teheran needed 39 pitches to complete the first two innings. But once he regained a feel for his slider, he needed just 53 more pitches to complete his final five innings.
Teheran’s inability to consistently gain a good feel for his slider might be a product of the weather His slider accounted for 35.7 percent of the pitches he threw inside Miller Park’s dome on Opening Day. In two of the next three starts he made (including last week’s gem in Philadelphia), he used his slider less than 14 percent of the time. The game time temperature for those two starts were 51 degrees and 48 degrees.
Teheran’s slider accounted for 24.2 percent of the pitches he threw during Monday night’s game, which began with a temperature of 78 degrees. This array was similar to what he displayed when he threw his slider 21.4 percent of the time on April 11, a home game that started amid a very comfortable 71 degrees.
There really hasn’t been any reason to complain about what Teheran has done while posting a 1.80 ERA through his first five starts. But as the summer months quickly approach, you have to wonder if he will have even more opportunity to benefit from the slider, which has the potential to be his greatest weapon.
As the Braves come off a three-game sweep of the Nationals and an entertaining series victory in Philadelphia, what could go wrong as they spend this weekend playing the Mets at Citi Field?
This question is obviously filled with sarcasm. The more appropriate question might be, will the Braves actually escape a road trip against the Mets without incurring a serious injury?
Maybe it was coincidental that Tim Hudson (season-ending ankle injury) and Jason Heyward (fractured jaw) suffered traumatic injuries during the final two trips Atlanta made to Citi Field last year. But when Kris Medlen blew out his right elbow during the first trip the Braves made to Port St. Lucie during this year’s Grapefruit League season, there was no longer a comedic element to this coincidence.
So of course the baseball gods have aligned things so that Jason Heyward will oppose Jonathan Niese to begin the first road game the Braves play against the Mets this year. This will be the first time Niese has faced the Braves since he dented the right side of Heyward’s face with a fastball on Aug. 21.
In other words, this is not necessarily the optimal setting to break out of the 2-for-27 skid Heyward will carry into this series opener. Heyward has hit just .136 (8-for-59) and five of his eight hits have been compiled within two of this season’s first 15 games. He’s gone hitless in 10 of the past 13 games.
Obviously, this has caused some of you to call for the need to move him out of the leadoff spot. But, considering what Heyward did in this role when he was initially introduced to it last year, it still seems to be a little too early to pull the plug.
Yeah, Braves manager Fredi Gonzalez was willing to sit Chris Johnson for two straight games at the start of this week. But that decision was influenced more by Johnson’s temper than the 3-for-18 skid he had carried into Sunday’s series finale against the Nationals. While going hitless in five at-bats during Saturday’s win over the Nationals, Johnson had thrown his batting helmet and turned over a number of items in and around the dugout. In other words, he created one of those scenes that led first base coach Terry Pendleton to grab him in the dugout at the conclusion of the second-to-last game of last year’s regular season.
After hitting five home runs in the process of totaling nine runs in Monday’s series opener against the Phillies, the Braves tallied just one run over the course of the final two games played in Philadelphia. Fortunately that one run supplied by Evan Gattis’ solo shot on Wednesday was enough to doom Cliff Lee, who has suffered two of his five career complete game losses during his past two outings against Atlanta.
On Thursday afternoon, it was Alex Wood’s turn to suffer a tough-luck loss, one that was blemished by his inability to get a sacrifice bunt down in the top of the decisive eighth inning. But Wood’s impressive eight-inning effort extended the remarkable success generated thus far by Atlanta’s starting rotation, which has stood as baseball’s most surprising group during this season’s first three weeks.
On the eve of the season opener, I opined that a modernized version of former Boston Post sports editor Gerald V. Hern’s classic “Spahn and Sain” poem might be recognized by these words: Teheran and Wood, then skip the next three days if we could.
Well this injury-depleted rotation has since welcomed Ervin Santana to the fold and watched Aaron Harang conjure memories of what he did for the Reds before being burdened with injuries. As for Julio Teheran and Wood, they have simply given the Braves even more reason to be encouraged to believe they could both establish themselves as legitimate frontline starters for many years to come.
The Braves lead the Majors with a 1.58 starting pitcher’s ERA. Oakland ranks second with a 2.48 mark.
It might be too early to get overly excited about statistics. But given what it has included, it is remarkable this year’s Braves rotation has started this season more impressively than any of those that included Maddux, Glavine and Smoltz.
Here’s a look at the top starting pitcher ERAs the Braves have produced through the first 15 games of a season dating back to 1990:
Before getting overly concerned about the fact that a sore right shoulder prevented Craig Kimbrel from closing Monday night’s thrilling win in Philadelphia, remember some of you were also worried about him around this same time last year.
Or maybe more importantly, Kimbrel has already played catch today and given himself more reason to believe he will be available to pitch if rain does not prevent the Braves and Phillies from playing tonight’s scheduled game at Citizens Bank Park.
As Kimbrel worked a perfect inning against the Nationals during his sixth appearance of the 2013 season, his average fastball velocity (per BrooksBaseball.net) was 94.5 mph. This eyebrow-rising drop in velo was influenced by the fact that he had worked a perfect inning approximately 17 hours earlier.
After he rested two days following those back-to-back appearances, his average fastball velocity in his seventh appearance of the season was 99 mph.
All of this was provided to simply provide some context in the event that Kimbrel is indeed simply dealing the kind of normal shoulder soreness that can be healed with a couple days of rest. But until the Braves closer has a chance to prove he is not dealing with something that could possibly sideline him, there will be at least some level of concern, regardless of what Braves manager Fredi Gonzalez said as he spoke to reporters after Monday’s game.
“Not worried at all,” Gonzalez said. “I’m talking to Craig and our trainers. I think it’s one of those things that every reliever goes through. [If we hadn’t gone ahead in the ninth], you guys wouldn’t have even known it. So throughout the course of the season, there are guys that are banged up and they’re not the closer. If it’s not a save situation, nobody would even know, so I’m not concerned at all.”
While a reliever is seemingly destined to deal with some kind of soreness at some point during a season, some of you might have been more comforted had Kimbrel not revealed that his shoulder has occasionally bothered him dating back to Spring Training.
But with this being said, there have not necessarily been any glaring signs that Kimbrel has been dealing with any burdensome discomfort.
Yeah, he issued a walk and allowed a pair of two-out, run-producing singles after being assigned to clean Jordan Walden’s ninth-inning clutter during Wednesday’s win over the Mets. Dating back to the start of the 2012 season, he had entered just four other games in the middle of an inning with at least one runner on base.
But Kimbrel has been perfect in four of the five innings he has started this year. The only thing separating him from being 5-for-5 in this category was the one-out single he surrendered in the process of notching his fifth save on Saturday.
If you’re wondering about his arm strength, here is a look at his average fastball velocity through the first six games of the past three seasons (once again courtesy to the fine folks at brooksbaseball.net). Notice that Kimbrel’s velo thus far has been a tick better than it was at the same point of his historic 2012 season.
2012: 96.7 mph
2013: 97.05 mph
2014: 96.98 mph
Given that they have been shutout twice and that they have totaled two runs or fewer in three of their first four losses, it can be said that the Braves have squandered a few opportunities to take advantage of the fact that their injury-depleted starting rotation has produced a Major League-best 1.74 ERA through this season’s first nine games.
But it wasn’t until Thursday’s 6-4 loss to the Mets that it truly felt like the Braves lost a game that they could have easily won.
Yeah, the slumbering offense tallied four runs for a second straight night. But at the end of the day, the Braves ended up scoring in just four of the 27 innings played this week against the Mets, who at last check are not currently able to rely on the likes of Seaver, Gooden or even Harvey.
In other words, let’s not yet say the Braves have completely halted the early-season offensive woes that have led them to produce 2.56 runs per game — the second-worst mark in the Majors.
Justin Upton provided some signs of encouragement on Thursday when he homered twice and sent two of his three hits to right field. As B.J. Upton made solid contact during three of his four plate appearances he might have been benefiting from the tutorial Chipper Jones had offered a few hours earlier.
When Chris Johnson saw that Jones was at Turner Field, he comically tweeted a question asking if he was still in the lineup. But he wasn’t laughing a few hours later when he became the first Braves player to strike out four times in a game this year. His only previous four-strikeout game had come during the 2012 season.
Still the Braves managed to keep the game tied until manager Fredi Gonzalez made the baffling decision to replace a dependable veteran (Luis Avilan) with a green rookie (Gus Schlosser) who has not exactly impressed during his first five career appearances.
When asked why he replaced Avilan with Schlosser, who surrendered Juan Lagares’ decisive single, Gonzalez indicated that Avilan had been put in that spot because three of the first four hitters he was scheduled to face were left-handed hitters. Two of those lefties reached safely between a David Wright strikeout and the other (Ike Davis) hit a weak popup to leave runners at second and third with two outs.
Instead of allowing Avilan, who has limited right-handed hitters to a .205 batting average since the start of last year, Gonzalez turned to Schlosser, who has now surrenderd hits to six of the first 21 hitters he has faced.
There was nothing wrong with using Avilan in the seventh inning given who the Mets were set to send to the plate. But given the success he has had against right-handed hitters, there aren’t too many fathomable scenarios where he should be used like a specialist.
Gonzalez also made the baffling decision to sacrifice defense for what he hoped would be offensive potential by using Ryan Doumit instead of Gerald Laird as his starting catcher on Thursday night. Doumit’s reputation was upheld as Eric Young successfully swiped three bases. Opponents have been successful in each of the seven stolen base attempts that have been made with Doumit behind the plate this year.
While this doesn’t necessarily come as a surprise, it has been surprising to see the Braves give Doumit two starts behind the plate when Laird was perfectly capable to play those games in place of Evan Gattis, who is targeted to catch approximately 100-110 games for Atlanta this year.
When the Braves acquired Doumit, it seemed the plan was to have him serve as a pinch hitter, who might occasionally get a start in the outfield or at first base. But I don’t think anybody, especially Laird expected to see Doumit behind the plate to start two of this season’s first nine games.
Because of an affinity that dates back to those youthful days when he would go to County Stadium to see Hank Aaron and his beloved Milwaukee Braves, Major League Baseball Commissioner Bud Selig has declared that the Braves and Brewers will play the final two games of this week’s series at Fox Cities Stadium, the home of the Wisconsin Timbler Rattlers.
And to further level the playing field, any current Brewer who has pitched against the Braves at any point during the past few seasons has been given a two-day suspension that must be served immediately.
Brewers manager Ron Roenicke has since announced Sidd Finch will serve as his starting pitcher tonight and in Wednesday afternoon’s series finale.
I’m not much for the April Fools’ thing But given what the Braves have experienced over the past few years while playing in Milwaukee, I figured this was an appropriate time to provide some levity to those of you who have chosen to forecast impending doom based on what transpired during the first of the 162 games Atlanta is scheduled to play this year.
While these next couple nuggets might provide the appearance that I am extending this April Fools theme, they are legitimate facts that prove how dominant the Brewers have recently been against the Braves.
The Braves have been shutout in five of the seven games played against the Brewers dating back to last year.
If possible, this factoid becomes even more unbelievable when you account for the fact that Brewers ace Yovani Gallardo has started just one of these five games — Monday’s 2-0 Opening Day contest at Miller Park. Milwaukee’s starting pitchers in the other four games were Wily Peralta, Donovan Hand, Marco Estrada and Kyle Lohse.
Since the start of the 2013 season, the Braves have played 4.3 percent of their games against the Brewers. Yet, 27.8 percent (5 of 18) of the shutout losses they have incurred during this span have come courtesy of Milwaukee’s pitching staff.
The Braves have lost nine of the past 10 games played at Miller Park
Since the start of the 2011 season, the Braves have produced a National League-best .525 road winning percentage. But they have lost nine of the 11 games played in Milwaukee during this span. Correct me if I’m wrong, but I don’t think this futile stretch can be blamed on Ben Sheets and shadows.
To make this span even more baffling, the Brewers have gone 2-8 at Turner Field since the start of the 2011 season.
LOOKING AHEAD: This might be a good time to mention that the Braves have not been shutout in consecutive games to begin a season since opening the 1980 season in Cincinnati.
But things won’t get any easier for the Braves when the Brewers send Lohse to the mound tonight. Given what has occurred the past two times the veteran right-hander has faced Atlanta, there is a chance that something odd or riotous could occur.
Lohse served as the Cardinals starting pitcher the night that umpire Sam Holbrook became a villain in Atlanta with his infamous infield fly ruling during the 2012 National League Wild Card playoff game. Lohse was also on the mound last September when Brian McCann halted Carlos Gomez’s insane home run trot approximately 10 feet in front of home plate.
And as fate would have it, Lohse will be opposed by Braves southpaw Alex Wood, who will be making his first start since he vociferously critiqued umpire CB Bucknor’s performance as he walked off the mound at Nationals Park on Sept. 18.
Less than two years removed from his days at the University of Georgia, Wood possesses a genuine sense of confidence that should prove beneficial as he encounters the inevitable frustrations that even the best young players are bound to encounter during the early portion of their careers.
We’ll wrap this up with some telling thoughts from Wood as he prepares to build off the success he had after being called to the Majors last year.
“I feel more weight on my shoulders now than I ever did last year, because last year if I did well, I exceeded expectations,” Wood said. “If I didn’t, it was, ‘Oh he’s 22 years old,’ or, ‘He went through the Minor Leagues fast, he’s going to have some growing pains.’
“Well, I really didn’t experience many growing pains last year, so now what I did last year is what everyone expects. But I wouldn’t have it any other way. My biggest thing is getting an opportunity. If I get an opportunity, I don’t typically let it get away.”
If former Boston Post sports editor Gerald V. Hern was still around to cover the Braves the updated version of his famous poem about Warren Spahn and Johnny Sain might be recognized by these words: Teheran and Wood, then skip the next three days if we could.
A National League scout recently asked if a team has ever entered a season with three pitchers who haven’t thrown a pitch at the Major League level? My immediate response was, “I can guarantee you this year’s Braves bunch will be the first two do so after leading the Majors in ERA the year before.”
Unfortunately, relievers Ian Thomas, Ryan Buchter and Gus Schlosser do not stand as primary sources of concern as they prepare to introduce themselves to the big league scene within the next few days. The concern has more to do with the guys who are going to force Thomas, Buchter and Schlosser to be on high alert early and often as the Braves spend the early portion of this season dealing with the consequences of losing Kris Medlen and Brandon Beachy to season-ending elbow injuries within a 24-hour span earlier this month.
The 1927 Yankees would not have felt good about entering a season with a four-man rotation that includes an aged veteran (Aaron Harang) that has been with six different organizations in the past calendar year and a rookie (David Hale) whose promise is a product of the two strong starts he made during a month (September) that scouts and talent evaluators have long recognized as one that can often produce faulty evaluations.
But instead of focusing on the obvious fact that the Braves are going to have problems with their rotation until Ervin Santana, Mike Minor and Gavin Floyd all make their expected season debuts at differing points over the past week, we’re going to attempt to keep things a little more upbeat by taking a quick look at what Spring Training told us about each member of Atlanta’s Opening Day roster:
B.J. Upton — If you’re still choosing to give Spring Training statistics some validity, remember that B.J. hit .347 in 75 Grapefruit League at-bats last year and then didn’t much of anything over the six months that mattered. With that being said, it should be noted that he struck out in 13 of the final 35 at-bats he recorded this exhibition season. But there were signs of improvement as the veteran center fielder got used to the more stable batting stance he attempted to regain this winter.
As B.J. begins this year positioned in front of Freddie Freeman in the lineup’s second spot, he might see a higher percentage of fastballs than he did last year. According to FanGraphs’ Pitch f/x data, he saw nearly the same percentage of fastballs the past two years. In 2012 he had a 12.4 wFB (Fastball wins above average). Last year that number dipped to -4.8. Thus maybe it is fitting that two of B.J.’s most encouraging at-bats over the past month ended with him hitting Mets right-hander Zack Wheeler’s fastball for singles — one that went right up the middle and the other to right-center field.
Dan Uggla – Like addicts on the road to recovery, Uggla seemed to take a big step when he admitted that he has been “homer-happy” the past couple of years. In an effort to rid himself of the bad habits that led his front side to fly open far too frequently, the veteran second baseman spent this winter focusing on keeping his left hip and left shoulder square. He struggled during the early portion of the Grapefruit League season, but he finished strong, recording seven hits and striking out just five times in his final 21 at-bats. Taking an old familiar line from Bobby Cox, “you can tell he feels good because he’s smiling again.”
Freddie Freeman — Other than dealing with an armpit rash caused by his Spring Training jersey, Freeman spent the past six weeks smiling. I think it’s one of those indelible ones that comes with receiving $135 million. As for that rash, it didn’t prevent him from going 9-for-15 in his last six exhibition games.
Andrelton Simmons — As he packed his bag after the final home game at Disney, Simmons said he was feeling great at the plate. When I asked if he had gotten comfortable with hitting coach Greg Walker was preaching in attempt to gain a more consistent swing plane, Simmons said, “about five of the 10 things he suggested work for me.” This isn’t the space to go into detail. But obviously given what he brings with his glove, nobody is going to complain if he hits around .250, pushes his on-base percentage above .300 and hits 10-15 home runs. Yeah, he hit 17 taters last year. But there’s no reason for him to aim to match that total at the expense of becoming a better-rounded product at the plate.
Chris Johnson — Very interesting to see that Fredi Gonzalez plans to bat Johnson in the cleanup spot. In order for this to work, Johnson has to stick with the “hit the ball to all fields” approach that helped him rank second in the NL with a .321 batting average last year. He batted .336 with runners in scoring position and .396 with runners in scoring position and two outs. Given the .394 BABIP he produced last year, we’ll likely see some regression with the batting average. But he’s certainly capable of flirting with the .300 mark again.
Jason Heyward — As I enter my 14th season on this beat, I still contend that J.D. Drew’s 2004 season was the most overall (offense, defense and base running) impressive one I have covered in Atlanta. If Heyward remains healthy and plays at least 150 games this year, there’s a chance I will no longer have to give Drew this status and then attempt to explain to those who forget how good a motivated J.D. Drew was. Heyward has to potential to be much greater. In fact if I had to pick the one Braves player most likely to win the National League MVP Award this year, it would be the 24-year-old right fielder.
Justin Upton – Upton put the Braves on his back during the two most influential stretches (April and late July-early August) last year. While every player is “streaky”, this 26-year-old right fielder seems to take “streakiness” to another level. Despite hitting at least 26 home runs three of the past five seasons, he has never had a 100-RBI campaign. He’ll have a chance to reach this mark this season. But he will have to be more productive than he was while hitting .243 with runners in scoring position last year.
Evan Gattis: I’ve never been a fan of using the catcher as in the cleanup spot because once every five days the middle of the lineup is jumbled. Manager Fredi Gonzalez didn’t seem bothered by this when asked during the early days of Spring Training. But after Gattis struggled during Spring Training, the Braves opted to move him from cleanup to the seventh spot in the lineup. Gattis will be looking to prove he can remain durable enough to remain offensively productive while serving as the starting catcher for 100-110 games this year.
Gerald Laird: With the recent departures of Tim Hudson, Peter Moylan, Eric Hinske and Brian McCann, the Braves have lost jovial characters who keep the clubhouse loose. Along with being able to provide this attribute, Laird will play a significant role this year as should get more playing time than the average backup catcher.
Jordan Schafer: There was a time last year when it appeared Schafer was going to start sharing time with B.J. Upton in center field. Unfortunately for Schafer, that time came right around when he suffered a stress fracture in his foot. While he has aspirations to play on an everyday basis again, this athletic outfielder must get back to where he was early last season, when he was putting the ball in play consistently and benefiting from his tremendous speed.
Ryan Doumit: While he might not get much playing time in the field, the switch-hitting Doumit will likely serve as the club’s primary pinch hitter throughout this season.
Ramiro Pena: While providing a number of clutch pinch hits and a reliable glove as he often served as a late-inning defensive replacement for Johnson, he was Atlanta’s most valuable bench player before he injured his shoulder last year. A strong offensive showing during Spring Training proved he is healthy.
Tyler Pastornicky: Two years removed from beginning a season as Atlanta’s starting shortstop, Pastornicky is now a utility man whose defensive skills are most valuable on the infield’s left side.
Julio Teheran: Ask his teammates about this 23-year-old hurler and in some way or another they’ll tell you he is fearless. We saw how stoic he was last year when he plunked Bryce Harper and then walked directly toward Harper as the Nationals outfielder was yelling at him in August. Yeah, that can sometimes be “false” bravado. But instead, of being overwhelmed by the emotions that night at Nationals Park, the young hurler completed his victorious six-inning effort without allowing another run. <p>
While Teheran has quickly gained a stronger feel for the English language, the language barrier is still somewhat evident when he says things like, “I think I’m the best.” He’s not the egotistical, boastful type. But as Gerald Laird said, “He’s got a good edge to him.”
Alex Wood: When the Braves were set to draft Wood in the second round of the 2012 First-Year Player Draft, legendary scout Paul Snyder told the club to stay away from the collegiate southpaw if they had any intention of messing with his funky delivery. Fortunately, nobody has messed with this funky delivery that helped Wood post a 0.90 ERA in five August starts last year. Along with having a deceptive delivery and effective curveball, Wood has a genuine level of confidence you might not expect from somebody who is less than two years removed from his career at the University of Georgia.
Aaron Harang: I’m still baffled as to why the Braves believe Harang was a better option than Freddy Garcia. When pitchers reach this point of their career, I’ll take craftiness over a velocity advantage. Regardless, Atlanta will be in trouble if Harang needs to make more than 10 starts this year. Yeah, the same would have been said in reference to Garcia.
David Hale: Hale is one of the few Major Leaguers who can claim that some of his college buddies are currently making more money than him. This Princeton grad produced two strong starts last September. But if the Braves really believed that he was capable of doing what he did, then why did Kameron Loe start that Sept. 4 series finale against the Mets?
Craig Kimbrel: Kimbrel went through Spring Training without having to accelerate his preparations like he did when he participated in the World Baseball Classic last year. Now that the regular season has arrived, he will once again begin displaying his high-octane fastball and ridiculous slider.
Luis Avilan: Stump your friends with this one: Who has the lowest ERA among all left-handed relievers who have made at least 80 appearances dating back to Aug. 1, 2012? Avilan is much more stable than Jordan Walden and will likely serve as Kimbrell’s primary setup man.
Jordan Walden: Walden was quite impressive until he strained both groin muscles and then was essentially worthless during last season’s final five weeks. Injuries have plagued the right-hander throughout his career. But if he can remain healthy, the Braves will once again rely on him to record outs in the seventh and eighth innings.
David Carpenter: Carpenter had a heck of journey last year as he began the season in the Minors and ended it by surrendering a go-ahead home run in the eighth inning of Game 4 of the NL Division Series against the Dodgers. The 0.82 ERA he produced in 11 Grapefruit League appearances indicated that he is not battling any lingering effects.
Anthony Varvaro: Varvaro struggled during the early portion of this year’s exhibition season as he attempted to develop a slider he has since ditched. Minus the second inning of a multi-inning appearance he made against the Orioles on March 21, the veteran reliever at least showed some signs of improvement as the regular season approached.
Gus Schlosser: Schlosser is a better option in the rotation than both Harang and Hale. But the right-hander who produces an effective sinker with his side-arm delivery also stands as one of the best middle relief options in an Atlanta bullpen that also currently lacks depth. He might have to remain available to serve as a long reliever during the season’s early weeks. But he has the potential to see some time in high-leverage relief situations before this season is complete.
Ian Thomas: Schlosser would have been this year’s feel-good Spring Training story, had Thomas not made the rise from the independent leagues to the Majors in two years. The lanky left-hander’s unexpected rise has come with the benefit of a curveball he began refining as he prepared to begin the 2012 season with the Atlantic League’s York Revolution.
Ryan Bucther: There’s a lot to like about this left-handed reliever who has produced impressive strikeout totals the past few years. Unfortunately, he needs time to address the command issues that will likely send him back to the Minors when Ervin Santana’s return allows Atlanta to go to a five-man rotation next week.
It is not necessarily easy to evaluate all that transpires with a club during the six-week period known as Spring Training. But I think it’s safe to say, it is never good when Dr. James Andrews is the one who is making the most significant cuts.
Given all that occurred over the past month, I have to think many of you are longing for those days when your primary concerns centered around whether Dan Uggla and B.J. Upton would created reason for encouragement during the Grapefruit League season. Instead, you are now looking at this pitching staff and wondering if the new replay coordinator Horacio Ramirez still has a few innings left in his left arm.
That’s obviously wondered in jest. Well kind of. I mean…
Seriously we should have known we had entered the bizarro world when Mike Minor informed us that a Dec. 31 urinary tract procedure had caused him to remain inactive for a month, consequently putting him behind schedule at the beginning of Spring Training.
Mike Minor has had trouble urinating over the past two years and thus will not be ready to join Atlanta’s rotation until the latter portion of April.
While that sentence might be disturbing, odd and definitely unique, it is also much more pleasant to read or write than those countless sentences we wrote about Medlen and Beachy having to undergo Tommy John elbow reconstruction surgery for the second time in less than four years.
First and foremost, you feel for Medlen and Beachy who realize that there is a good chance they will not be the same even if they are fortunate to pitch at the big league level again. At the same time, you have to wonder where this leaves the Braves as they enter this season with a four-man rotation that will consist of Julio Teheran, Alex Wood, Aaron Harang and either David Hale or Gus Schlosser.
The Braves will go to a five-man rotation when Ervin Santana is ready to enter this mix at some point during the regular season’s second week. Then order might be further restored by April’s fourth week, when Minor and Gavin Floyd are expected to make their respective season debuts.
If Minor and Floyd stick to their projected path here is a breakdown of the number of starts that could be made by each Braves starting pitcher through the regular season’s first 20 games: Teheran (5), Wood (4), Harang (4), Santana (3) Hale/Schlosser (3).
I used 20 games because there is a chance Floyd could return to start the 21st game on April 22. Minor’s schedule would allow him to debut the next day. While there will obviously be a need to do some shuffling, this at least gives you an idea of when the starting pitching staff could start looking whole again, IF everything goes according to plans, hopes, wishes and prayers.
While Floyd has drawn rave reviews from Bobby Cox and current members of the Braves coaching staff who have seen him throw bullpen and live batting practice sessions over the past few weeks, it should be remembered that he is coming off Tommy John surgery and thus will be subject to the inconsistencies that Adam Wainwright and so many other pitchers have experienced until they are closer to 18 months removed from the procedure.
Fortunately for Minor, he has gone more than a month without feeling the discomfort that briefly shelved him during the early portion of Spring Training. If this encouraging trend continues, his return to the rotation will have a greater immediate impact than Floyd’s.
But as the Braves plan to limit Wood to 170-180 innings during what will be just his second professional season, Floyd’s presence will prove even more valuable as the season progresses and he moves further away from surgery.
So, if Teheran builds off his rookie success and Minor continues to be the top-flight hurler he has been since the second half of the 2012 season, the Braves have two legitimate candidates to serve as the ace of a staff that should benefit from Santana’s steady hand.
If Wood’s rookie campaign was a sign of things to come, he like Santana will be a solid number three starter, who has the potential to occasionally match up with the game’s top starters. And of course if Floyd returns in time to prevent the Braves from relying on Harang for more than a couple weeks, then manager Fredi Gonzalez and pitching coach Roger McDowell might get through this season with their sanity in tact. <p>
Still as my Hall of Fame MLB.com colleague Paul Hagen told me nearly a decade ago, “The more times you say the word ‘if” when talking about a team coming out of Spring Training, the more likely you’re going to see problems as the season progresses.”
So while the Braves have the makings to survive with a rotation that will not include Medlen and Beachy, it is hard to feel confident about a quintet that is currently surrounded by so much uncertainty.
Before closing, I’d be remiss not to reminisce about one of the funnier events that transpired during Spring Training.
As the Braves prepared to play their Grapefruit League opener, Minor League reliever Juan Jaime asked Tigers first base coach Omar Vizquel to take a picture with him.
A short time later Jaime went to the social media world and posted the picture with a caption that essentially read: “Me with my favorite player Roberto Alomar.”
Hours after parting ways with Freddy Garcia, the Braves believe they found a better option in Aaron Harang.
Early Tuesday evening, a baseball executive confirmed the Braves are set to sign Harang. Terms of the agreement were not immediately revealed.
Harang compiled a 2.00 ERA while completing nine Cactus League innings for the Indians this year. But when he learned he would not begin the season in Cleveland’s starting rotation, he asked for and was granted his unconditional release.
In other words, Harang was essentially in the same position as Garcia, who was given his unconditional release shortly early Monday afternoon after the Braves informed him that he would not be on their Opening Day roster.
When Braves general manager Frank Wren explained the decision to release Garcia despite the fact that his club has limited pitching depth, he indicated he was close to landing what he believed would be a better option.
Harang, 35, has dealt with multiple injury woes that have robbed him of the arm strength he had when he spent the early portion of his career with the A’s and Reds. He posted a 5.40 ERA while combining for 26 starts with the Mets and Mariners last year.
Encouraged by the reports they received from scouts who saw Harang pitch this month in Arizona, the Braves opted to take a chance on the veteran right-hander with the hope he will provide quality depth until their injury-deplete starting rotation starts to become whole again over the next month.
The Braves will begin the season with a four-man starting rotation that will likely consist of Julio Teheran, Alex Wood, Harang and David Hale. A five-man rotation will be employed when the recently-signed Ervin Santana is ready to be activated during the regular season’s second week.
This rotation will be further fortified when Gavin Floyd and Mike Minor are deemed ready. Floyd and Minor are both aiming to join the rotation during April’s fourth week.
When Freddy Garcia signed a Minor League contract with the Braves in January, he seemingly stood as insurance for rotation that at the time was expected to include Kris Medlen, Brandon Beachy and Mike Minor.
But as the Braves prepare to open the upcoming season with a rotation that will be void of Medlen, Beachy and Minor, they have opted to take the gamble of cutting into their already-thin depth by cutting ties with Garcia.
Shortly after arriving at Champion Stadium early Monday afternoon, Garcia was surprised to learn the Braves had given him his unconditional release. The Braves had until Monday to inform Garcia whether he would be on Atlanta’s Opening Day roster.
Garcia’s Minor League contract provided him a guarantee of $1.25 million if he was ever placed on Atlanta’s roster. The 37-year-old veteran pitcher has spent the past six weeks repeatedly saying that he will not pitch at the Minor League level this year.
“I’ve got nothing to say,” Garcia said. “They made a decision and I’ve got to deal with that.”
There is a chance the Braves could acquire a starting pitcher within the next week. But as things currently stand, it appears they will open the season with a four-man rotation that consists of Julio Teheran, Alex Wood, David Hale and Gus Schlosser.
Teheran, Wood, Hale and Schlosser have combined for 47 career starts. Teheran is the only member of this quartet who has made as many as 12 career starts.
The Braves plan to go to a five-man rotation when the recently-signed Ervin Santana is ready to be activated during the regular season’s second week. This rotation will be further fortified when Gavin Floyd and Mike Minor are deemed ready.
Floyd and Minor are currently projected to be join Atlanta’s rotation during April’s fourth week, when the Braves are a little more than 20 games into the 162-game season.
If Santanta, Floyd and Minor all remain on track, Garcia’s value would significant ly decrease by the end of April. But given that Medlen and Beachy have already been lost to season-ending elbow injuries, the Braves are seemingly taking a gamble by parting ways with Garcia and minimizing their already-thin starting pitching depth.
Garcia did not allow an earned run in three of his five Grapefruit League starts. After struggling in two consecutive outings, including the one he made while his wife was in labor, he limited the Mets to two hits and one unearned run over 5 1/3 innings on Sunday.
Schlosser, who has never pitched above the Double-A level, has provided some indication that he could be more effective than Garcia in the rotation. But given the limited amount of depth the Braves will have for at least the next three weeks, there was reason to wonder if the Braves would at least keep Garcia around by using him as a long reliever.